Volatility, Uncertainty, Europe and Now Darden Restaurants

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By Adam Hewison

What’s an investor to do?

Well, the way we look at the markets is pretty simple.  We look at our Trade Triangles everyday as they have an excellent track record at what we call “getting it right”.  Are the Trade Triangles right every time?  No, nothing in the investment world is right every single time.  Even CNBC’s Mad Money Jim Cramer, only get’s it right 50% of the time.

Let me give you a specific and timely example of just how powerful our Trade Triangles are.  Today, Darden Restaurants (Symbol DRI) announced disastrous results and guidance, that quite frankly shocked the markets.

So how were our Trade Triangles positioned in Darden Restaurants?  You would have been either totally out of the market or short.  Darden Restaurants, by the way, opened this morning down over 10%! We will be looking at Darden Restaurants today in our video market review.

Now, let’s go to the charts and the video and see how we can create and protect your wealth for the balance of the year.
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S&P 500 INDEX
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The Trade Triangles are showing a Chart Analysis Score of +60 which indicates that we are presently in a trading range for the S&P 500.  With our weekly Trade Triangle turning positive yesterday, intermediate term traders should now be out of this market. Long-term term traders should either be in cash or continue to hold short positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.

BIG PICTURE: Trading Range
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bullish

Combined Strength of Trend Score
= +60
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HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
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Suggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
2 x Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
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SILVER (SPOT)
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With a Chart Analysis Score of -100, Silver is in a strong bearish trend. Generally speaking, the major trend for silver continues to be negative based on our monthly and weekly Trade Triangles. Our intermediate Trade Triangles turned negative on 11/17 and our daily Trade Triangle moved into the negative column yesterday putting all our Trade Triangle indicators into a red negative mode. Long-term and intermediate term traders and short term traders should be in short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops.

BIG PICTURE
: Strong Trend Bearish
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trend = Bearish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = -100
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested SILVER Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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GOLD (SPOT)
————-
With a Chart Analysis Score of -70, gold is moving into and emerging trend, however with our monthly Trade Triangle in a positive position we have a longer term bullish bias.  We remain positive on this market longer term and expect we will see it move much higher in 2012 as inflation kicks in around the world. Long-term traders should remain positive for this precious metal. Intermediate term traders should be out of this market at the moment and on the sidelines waiting for a buy signal with the weekly Trade Triangle.

BIG PICTURE: Emerging Trend
Monthly trade triangles for Long-term trends = Bullish
weekly trade triangles for intermediate term trends = Bearish
daily trade triangles for short-term trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score
= -70
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested GOLD Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
Leveraged ETF’s:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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COPPER (MARCH)
————-
Resistance comes into copper today at the top of the Donchian trade channel at $3.63. With today’s Chart Analysis Score of +55 the market is in a trading range.  As stated before, copper generally reflects economic conditions, and as such is influenced by equity prices.  With equity prices moving higher it is in return reflected in higher copper prices.  The major trend based on our monthly Trade Triangle continues to be negative.  Long-term traders should continue to hold short positions in copper with appropriate money management stops. Intermediate term traders should now be on the sidelines.

BIG PICTURE: Trading Range
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score
= +55
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested Copper Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long JJC)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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CRUDE OIL (JANUARY)
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Despite our strong trend reading this market is beginning to look a little toppy or at the very least needs to regroup after the move over $100.  The $101.75 area basis the January contract appears to be offering resistance for this commodity at the present time. Crude oil remains the shining star of the commodity world and has become the currency of choice for the world. With all of our Trade Triangles green, giving us a +90 Chart Analysis Score, it would appear as though we are in a strong bullish trend.  Long-term, and intermediate term traders should be long this market with appropriate money management stops.

BIG PICTURE
: Strong Trend Bullish
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bullish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bullish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = +90
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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DOLLAR INDEX
————-
The dollar index moved to a five day high early today and reinforced just how important the $78.00 area is now for support. The possibility of a major double top in this index is something every trader should be aware of.  With all of our Trade Triangles in a positive mode we remain bullish on the market. Long-Term and intermediate term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate stops in place.

BIG PICTURE: Strong Trend Bullish
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bullish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bullish

Combined Strength of Trend Score
= +100
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long) (Short)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX
————-
No change in our comments for this index. Based on our Trade Triangle technology this index is in a bearish trend. We will wait and watch this indicator and our Trade Triangles looking for a sign that the inflation bull is upon us. Resistance is evident at $315, with support coming in between $305 and $310. Our long and intermediate term Trade Triangles remain negative for this index.  Long-term and intermediate term traders should continue to hold short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops.

BIG PICTURE: Strong Trend Bearish
Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bearish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = +85
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
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Suggested REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long) (Short CMD)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

[Ed. Note: Adam Hewison is the president, chief executive officer, and a founder of INO.com, Inc. He is also the author of two highly-acclaimed guides to the forex markets: International Monetary Report and Right on the Money, the Definitive Guide to Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates. Sign up for his FREE email Trading Course by clicking here now.]

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