Risk On – Risk Off, What Will Tomorrow Be?

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[ Money -> Investments ]

Risk On – Risk Off, What Will Tomorrow Be?

By Adam Hewison

Risk on – Risk off, what will tomorrow be?

The Collapse of Gold
Today, we want to take a close look at the gold market. We will see if the big move to the upside is over, and how far this move to the downside is likely to go.  Plus, what investors should be doing right now in the gold market.

Currency Watch
Have the shorts got it wrong in the euro/dollar cross?

Big Movers
Three stocks that are having big moves today.  We will see if those moves are for real based on our Trade Triangle technology.

Now, let’s go to the one truth you can count on, the charts!  Let’s see how they can create, protect, and expand your wealth in the future.

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S&P 500 INDEX
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BIG PICTURE: Trading Range

Classic trading range market.  The Trade Triangles are showing a Chart Analysis Score of +55, indicating we are in a trading range for the S&P 500.  Our weekly Trade Triangle turned positive a week ago Monday, signaling that intermediate term traders should now be out of this market.  Long-term traders should either be in cash or continue to hold short positions in this index with appropriate money management stops.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = +55
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HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
2 x Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
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SILVER (SPOT)
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BIG PICTURE: Strong Bearish Trend

With a Chart Analysis Score of -100, the silver market is in a strong trend to the downside.  Generally speaking, the major trend for silver continues to be negative based on our monthly and weekly Trade Triangles.  Our intermediate weekly Trade Triangle turned negative on 11/17 at $31.19.  Long-term and intermediate term traders and short term traders should be in short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trend = Bearish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = -100
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested SILVER Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long SLV) (Short the ETF SLV)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long AGQ) (Short ZSL)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.
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GOLD (SPOT)
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BIG PICTURE: Emerging Trend

Gold now has a Chart Analysis Score of -70, which equates to an emerging trend.  With our monthly Trade Triangle remaining in a positive position, we are longer term bullish on this metal.  Intermediate term traders should be out of this market at the moment and on the sidelines waiting for the next signal with the weekly Trade Triangle.

Monthly trade triangles for Long-term trends = Bullish
weekly trade triangles for intermediate term trends = Bearish
daily trade triangles for short-term trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = -70
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested GOLD Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long GLD) (Short the ETF GLD)
Leveraged ETF’s:(Long UGL) (Short GLL)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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COPPER (MARCH)
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BIG PICTURE: Trading Range

With today’s Chart Analysis Score of -55, the market is in a trading range.  Resistance comes into copper at $3.50 with support at $3.40.   As stated before, copper generally reflects economic conditions, and as such is influenced by equity prices.  With equity prices moving lower today, it is in return reflected in lower copper prices.  The major trend based on our monthly Trade Triangle continues to be negative. Long-term traders should continue to hold short positions in copper with appropriate money management stops.  Intermediate term traders should now be on the sidelines.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score
= -55
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested Copper Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long JJC)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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CRUDE OIL (JANUARY)
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BIG PICTURE: Trading Range

Look for the $100.00 area basis the January contract to offer stiff resistance for any rallies in this market. We would not be surprised to see this market move down to the lower band of its Donchian Trading Channel, around the $95 level. With two of our Trade Triangles green, giving us a +65 Chart Analysis Score, it still appears as though the under lying elements of this market remain bullish. Long-term, and intermediate term traders should be long this market with appropriate money management stops.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bullish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = +65
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested Crude Oil Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long USO) (Short the ETF USO)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UCO) (Short DTO)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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DOLLAR INDEX
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BIG PICTURE: Strong Bullish Trend

Today’s strong rally in this index reaffirms the positive trend we have been talking about since early November. Resistance kicks in today at $79.50 to $79.80.  With all of our Trade Triangles in a positive mode we remain bullish on this market.  Long-Term and intermediate term traders should maintain long positions with the appropriate stops in place.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bullish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bullish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bullish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = +100
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
————-
Suggested DOLLAR INDEX Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long UUP) (Short UDN)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long) (Short)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX
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BIG PICTURE: Strong Bearish Trend

This market is in a deflationary mode and looks ready to challenge the lows seen on October 4th at $292.39. Based on our Trade Triangle technology, this index is in a strong bearish trend. Support should be seen at the $295 – $300 area for the balance of this week.  With all three of our Trade Triangle indicators red we remain firmly in the bearish camp for this market.  Our long, intermediate and now short-term Trade Triangles remain negative for this index. Long-term and intermediate term traders should continue to hold short positions in silver with appropriate money management stops.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Bearish
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Bearish
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Bearish

Combined Strength of Trend Score = -100
————-
HOW TO USE THE MARKETCLUB SCORING SYSTEM:
Score: 50 – 65 Trading Range
Score: 70 – 80 Emerging Trend
Score: 85 – 100 Strong Trend
—————
Suggested REUTERS/JEFFERIES CRB COMMODITY INDEX Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF’s: (Long CRBQ) (Short the ETF CRBQ)
Leveraged ETF’s: (Long) (Short CMD)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity in some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

[Ed. Note: Adam Hewison is the president, chief executive officer, and a founder of INO.com, Inc. He is also the author of two highly-acclaimed guides to the forex markets: International Monetary Report and Right on the Money, the Definitive Guide to Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rates. Sign up for his FREE email Trading Course by clicking here now.]

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